The following table shows how open interest is typically interpreted for a futures contract.
Futures Price | Open Interest | Interpretation |
---|---|---|
Rising | Rising | Strong/strengthening |
Rising | Falling | Weakening |
Falling | Rising | Weak/weakening |
Falling | Falling | Strengthening |
The data then must be applied to the forex market. For example, strength in euro futures (US dollar weakness) will likely keep pushing the EUR/USD higher. Weakness in Japanese yen futures (US dollar strength) will likely push the USD/JPY higher.
Futures volume and open interest information is available from CME Group and is also available through trading platforms such as TD Ameritrade’s Thinkorswim.